Az élelmiszerár-infláció meghatározó tényezői az Európai Unió 27 tagállamában
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32976/stratfuz.2025.6Kulcsszavak:
élelmiszerárak, olajárak, élelemiszerinfláció, Európai Unió, panelbecslésAbsztrakt
Jelen kutatás célja az élelmiszerár-infláció főbb meghatározó tényezőinek a vizsgálata az Európai Unió 27 tagállamában 2001. január és 2022. május között. A kutatás a tőzsdei nyersolajárak és a valutaárfolyam-ingadozások szerepére helyezi a hangsúlyt. Az elemzéshez kiegyensúlyozott panel adatbázist készítettünk havi adatok felhasználásával. A korábbi vizsgálatok eredményei nyomán az alábbi becslési módszereket alkalmaztuk: véletlen hatások (RE), panelkorrigált standard hibák (PCSE), módosított legkisebb négyzetek kointegrált becslése (FMOLS), valamint dinamikus legkisebb négyzetek (DOLS) regressziós módszere. Eredményeink azt mutatták, hogy az élelmiszerár-inflációt az olajárak növekedése és a valutaárfolyam-ingadozás egyaránt jelentős mértékben befolyásolták.
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