Manufacturing Development and Regional Socioeconomic Outcomes in the Context of Hungary’s Battery Industry Expansion
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32976/stratfuz.2026.17Keywords:
battery industry, manufacturing development, innovation capacity, socioeconomic outcomes, HungaryAbstract
This paper examines the association between regional manufacturing development intensity and socioeconomic outcomes in Hungary in the context of the country’s recent battery-industry expansion, using an EU27 NUTS2 benchmark panel over 2013–2022. Using a two-way fixed effects framework, it analyses employment, compensation per employee, and the tertiary employment share, while also testing the conditioning role of regional innovation capacity. The results show limited evidence of broad-based employment expansion, clearer wage upgrading, and no systematic upgrading in the tertiary employment share. Wage gains are stronger in regions with higher human capital and R&D effort, suggesting that innovation capacity strengthens the association between manufacturing development intensity and local wage outcomes. The findings suggest that manufacturing deepening in the context of Hungary’s battery-industry expansion is associated with real but uneven regional socioeconomic outcomes.
References
Asaba, M., Duffner, F., Frieden, F., Leker, J., & Delft, S. (2022). Location choice for large‐scale battery manufacturing plants: Exploring the role of clean energy, costs, and knowledge on location decisions in Europe. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 26(4), 1514-1527. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13292
Barbosa, W., Prado, T., Batista, C., Câmara, J., Cerqueira, R., Coelho, R., & Guarieiro, L. (2022). Electric Vehicles: Bibliometric Analysis of the Current State of the Art and Perspectives. Energies, 15(2), 395. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15020395
Csomós, G., Kovács, A. D., & Farkas, J. Z. (2025). A systematic analysis of different forms of procedural injustice associated with reindustrialization in Hungary: A case study on the lithium-ion battery industry. Journal of Cleaner Production, 521, 146298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146298
Ferloni, A., Bida, M., & Rozenblat, C. (2024). The emergence of electric vehicle transition in cities: a case of technological and spatial coevolution? Progress in Economic Geography, 2(1), 100009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.peg.2024.100009
Ferraro, A., & Garofalo, A. (2025). Navigating the transition to green mobility: assessing the impact of tax incentives on vehicle efficiency and market dynamics in italy. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 32(3), 3167-3180. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.3121
Foley, B., Degirmenci, K., & Yiğitcanlar, T. (2020). Factors Affecting Electric Vehicle Uptake: Insights from a Descriptive Analysis in Australia. Urban Science, 4(4), 57. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci4040057
Fu, X., Pietrobelli, C., & Soete, L. (2011). The role of foreign technology and indigenous innovation in the emerging economies: technological change and catching-up. World Development, 39(7), 1204-1212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.05.009
García, R., Araújo, V., & Mascarini, S., Santos, E. G., Costa, A., & Ferreira, S. (2022). How industrial diversity shapes the effects of foreign direct investment spillovers on regional innovation. International Regional Science Review, 46(1), 98-122. https://doi.org/10.1177/01600176221099182
Grillitsch, M., & Nilsson, M. (2015). Innovation in peripheral regions: Do collaborations compensate for a lack of local knowledge spillovers? The Annals of Regional Science, 54(1), 299-321. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-014-0655-8
Gyamfi, B. A., Agozie, D. Q., & Bekun, F. V. (2022). Can technological innovation, foreign direct investment and natural resources ease some burden for the BRICS economies within current industrial era? Technology in Society, 70, 102037. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2022.102037
Győrffy, D. (2024). Liberal and illiberal industrial policy in the EU: the political economy of building the EV battery value chain in Sweden and Hungary. Comparative European Politics, 22(5), 574-593. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-023-00374-0
Halpern, L., & Muraközy, B. (2007). Does distance matter in spillover? Economics of Transition, 15(4), 781-805. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0351.2007.00308.x
Haas, T., & Sander, H. (2020). Decarbonizing transport in the european union: emission performance standards and the perspectives for a european green deal. Sustainability, 12(20), 8381. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12208381
IEA. (2024). Global EV Outlook 2024. Paris: International Energy Agency. Available at: https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2024 (Accessed: 24 July 2025).
Kostecka-Tomaszewska, L., & Czerewacz‐Filipowicz, K. (2019). Poland – A Gate to the EU or a Bottleneck in the Belt and Road Initiative. European Research Studies Journal, 22(4), 472-492. https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/1524
Kronstein, B. (2026). Far right political ecologies and the battery sector: The case of the CATL gigafactory in Debrecen, Hungary. Political Geography, 127, 103522. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2026.103522
Lechowski, G., Krzywdzinski, M., Humphrey, J., & Pardi, T. (2025). Global shifts in the automotive industry. Outlining the new arrangements between technology, policy, firms, and markets. In Global Shifts in the Automotive Sector: Markets, Firms and Technologies in the Age of Geopolitical Disruption (pp. 345-365). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-80641-4_14
Liu, L., Meng, S., & Yu, J. (2022). Innovation from spatial spillovers of FDI and the threshold effect of urbanization: Evidence from Chinese cities. Sustainability, 14(10), 6266. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14106266
Pavlínek, P. (2022). Transition of the automotive industry towards electric vehicle production in the east European integrated periphery. Empirica, 50(1), 35-73. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09554-9
Ricz, J., & Éltető, A. (2025). Paradoxes of Green transition and developmentalism: The Case of ev battery production in Hungary. Problems of Post-Communism, 72(6), 528-542. https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2025.2459268
Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Bilbao-Osorio, B. (2004). From R&D to Innovation and Economic Growth in the EU. Growth and Change, 35(4), 434-455. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2257.2004.00256.x
Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Crescenzi, R. (2008). Research and development, spillovers, innovation systems, and the genesis of regional growth in Europe. Regional Studies, 42(1), 51-67. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343400701654186
Siebenhofer, M., Ajanović, A., & Haas, R. (2021). How policies affect the dissemination of electric passenger cars worldwide. Energies, 14(8), 2093. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14082093
Tóth, A., Csongrádi, Gy., & Engelberth, I. (2024). The influence of Japanese automotive industry investment in East Nógrád. Észak-magyarországi Stratégiai Füzetek, 21(1), 127-137. https://doi.org/10.32976/stratfuz.2024.10
Yang, L. (2024). Dynamic interactions among exchange rate, natural gas demand, production in manufacturing and battery industry export–evidence from Hungary. Gazdaság & Társadalom| Journal of Economy & Society, 17(35), 29-47. https://doi.org/10.21637/GT.2024.1.02
Yang, Z., Huang, H., & Lin, F. (2022). Sustainable Electric vehicle batteries for a sustainable world: Perspectives on battery cathodes, environment, supply chain, manufacturing, life cycle, and policy. Advanced Energy Materials, 12(26). 2200383. https://doi.org/10.1002/aenm.202200383
Yao, S., & Wei, K. (2007). Economic growth in the presence of FDI: The perspective of newly industrialising economies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 35(1), 211-234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2006.10.007
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

